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First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Worker Job Outlook

The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects employment of first-line supervisors of retail sales workers to shrink 3.7% from 2025 to 2035 (about 52,500 fewer jobs), with about 113,500 openings a year, and the May 2025 median pay of $48,520 a year ranks 585th of 825 occupations.

Occupation First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales WorkersSOC 41-1011Projection 2025 to 2035Pay period May 2025
Projected change
-3.7%
Openings a year
113,500
Median pay
$48,520
Pay rank
585th of 825

Is employment of first-line supervisors of retail sales workers growing or shrinking?

Shrinking: BLS projects employment of first-line supervisors of retail sales workers to fall 3.7% (about 52,500 fewer jobs) from 2025 to 2035, slower than the 3.5% projected across all occupations. That is slower than the -1.4% summed from BLS's employment levels across the 22 sales and related occupations with a projection. That change ranks 706th of 830 projected occupations.

MeasureFigure
Employment, 20251,419,800
Employment, 20351,367,400
Projected change-3.7%
Openings a year113,500

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035. A projection is a BLS estimate, not a count. The 1,419,800 jobs here differ from the 1,121,800 on the salary page because Employment Projections also counts the self-employed and a wider set of workers, while OEWS counts wage and salary jobs in May 2025. BLS published these projections on August 27, 2026; checked November 10, 2026. Confirm any figure in the BLS Employment Projections tables.

BLS's reasons for this projection are at the Occupational Outlook Handbook. State projections are at Projections Central; projections by industry are left to BLS. Education, licensing and work context at O*NET.

How many job openings are there each year?

About 113,500 openings a year, from job growth and from workers leaving the occupation, the 32nd most of 830 occupations. All of them replace workers who change occupations or leave the labor force, since BLS projects no net new jobs.

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035.

How does pay for first-line supervisors of retail sales workers rank?

The median of $48,520 a year ranks 585th of 825 occupations with a published median. It sits in the upper half of occupations on openings and the lower half on pay.

$33,12010th percentile$15.92 an hour
$38,59025th percentile$18.55 an hour
$48,520Median$23.33 an hour
$62,13075th percentile$29.87 an hour
$77,08090th percentile$37.06 an hour

Source: BLS OEWS national file, May 2025. Wage and salary jobs only; the self-employed are not counted. OEWS pay excludes overtime, shift differentials and non-production bonuses. Ranks count only the occupations with that published figure: 830 for projected change, 830 for openings, 825 for median pay, which is why the totals differ.

What does it take to start?

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035, education and training assignments.

How do related jobs compare on outlook?

Related occupations from O*NET; projections from BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035; pay from BLS OEWS, May 2025.

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