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First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers Job Outlook

The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects employment of first-line supervisors of production and operating workers to grow 1.8% from 2025 to 2035 (about 12,400 more jobs), with about 61,000 openings a year, and the May 2025 median pay of $74,450 a year ranks 284th of 825 occupations.

Occupation First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating WorkersSOC 51-1011Projection 2025 to 2035Pay period May 2025
Projected change
+1.8%
Openings a year
61,000
Median pay
$74,450
Pay rank
284th of 825

Is employment of first-line supervisors of production and operating workers growing or shrinking?

Growing: BLS projects employment of first-line supervisors of production and operating workers to rise 1.8% (about 12,400 more jobs) from 2025 to 2035, slower than the 3.5% projected across all occupations. That is faster than the -0.4% summed from BLS's employment levels across the 105 production occupations with a projection. That change ranks 503rd of 830 projected occupations.

MeasureFigure
Employment, 2025679,900
Employment, 2035692,300
Projected change+1.8%
Openings a year61,000

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035. A projection is a BLS estimate, not a count. The 679,900 jobs here differ from the 673,430 on the salary page because Employment Projections also counts the self-employed and a wider set of workers, while OEWS counts wage and salary jobs in May 2025. BLS published these projections on August 27, 2026; checked November 10, 2026. Confirm any figure in the BLS Employment Projections tables.

BLS's reasons for this projection are at the Occupational Outlook Handbook. State projections are at Projections Central; projections by industry are left to BLS. Education, licensing and work context at O*NET.

How many job openings are there each year?

About 61,000 openings a year, from job growth and from workers leaving the occupation, the 71st most of 830 occupations. About 98% of them replace workers who change occupations or leave the labor force; the rest come from the 1,240 jobs added in an average year.

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035.

How does pay for first-line supervisors of production and operating workers rank?

The median of $74,450 a year ranks 284th of 825 occupations with a published median. It sits in the upper half of occupations on both pay and openings.

$47,13010th percentile$22.66 an hour
$58,63025th percentile$28.19 an hour
$74,450Median$35.79 an hour
$91,68075th percentile$44.08 an hour
$108,75090th percentile$52.28 an hour

Source: BLS OEWS national file, May 2025. Wage and salary jobs only; the self-employed are not counted. OEWS pay excludes overtime, shift differentials and non-production bonuses. Ranks count only the occupations with that published figure: 830 for projected change, 830 for openings, 825 for median pay, which is why the totals differ.

What does it take to start?

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035, education and training assignments.

How do related jobs compare on outlook?

Related occupations from O*NET; projections from BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035; pay from BLS OEWS, May 2025.

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