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Baker Job Outlook

The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects employment of bakers to grow 5.5% from 2025 to 2035 (about 14,500 more jobs), with about 36,500 openings a year, and the May 2025 median pay of $37,160 a year ranks 773rd of 825 occupations.

Occupation BakersSOC 51-3011Projection 2025 to 2035Pay period May 2025
Projected change
+5.5%
Openings a year
36,500
Median pay
$37,160
Pay rank
773rd of 825

Is employment of bakers growing or shrinking?

Growing: BLS projects employment of bakers to rise 5.5% (about 14,500 more jobs) from 2025 to 2035, faster than the 3.5% projected across all occupations. That is faster than the -0.4% summed from BLS's employment levels across the 105 production occupations with a projection. That change ranks 201st of 830 projected occupations.

MeasureFigure
Employment, 2025262,400
Employment, 2035276,900
Projected change+5.5%
Openings a year36,500

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035. A projection is a BLS estimate, not a count. The 262,400 jobs here differ from the 236,200 on the salary page because Employment Projections also counts the self-employed and a wider set of workers, while OEWS counts wage and salary jobs in May 2025. BLS published these projections on August 27, 2026; checked November 10, 2026. Confirm any figure in the BLS Employment Projections tables.

BLS's reasons for this projection are at the Occupational Outlook Handbook. State projections are at Projections Central; projections by industry are left to BLS. Education, licensing and work context at O*NET.

How many job openings are there each year?

About 36,500 openings a year, from job growth and from workers leaving the occupation, the 106th most of 830 occupations. About 96% of them replace workers who change occupations or leave the labor force; the rest come from the 1,450 jobs added in an average year.

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035.

How does pay for bakers rank?

The median of $37,160 a year ranks 773rd of 825 occupations with a published median. It sits in the upper half of occupations on openings and the lower half on pay.

$28,12010th percentile$13.52 an hour
$32,66025th percentile$15.70 an hour
$37,160Median$17.86 an hour
$44,36075th percentile$21.33 an hour
$49,02090th percentile$23.57 an hour

Source: BLS OEWS national file, May 2025. Wage and salary jobs only; the self-employed are not counted. OEWS pay excludes overtime, shift differentials and non-production bonuses. Ranks count only the occupations with that published figure: 830 for projected change, 830 for openings, 825 for median pay, which is why the totals differ.

What does it take to start?

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035, education and training assignments.

How do related jobs compare on outlook?

Related occupations from O*NET; projections from BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035; pay from BLS OEWS, May 2025.

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