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Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity Job Outlook

The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects employment of transit and intercity bus drivers to grow 4.1% from 2025 to 2035 (about 6,900 more jobs), with about 21,100 openings a year, and the May 2025 median pay of $59,050 a year ranks 441st of 825 occupations.

Occupation Bus Drivers, Transit and IntercitySOC 53-3052Projection 2025 to 2035Pay period May 2025
Projected change
+4.1%
Openings a year
21,100
Median pay
$59,050
Pay rank
441st of 825

Is employment of transit and intercity bus drivers growing or shrinking?

Growing: BLS projects employment of transit and intercity bus drivers to rise 4.1% (about 6,900 more jobs) from 2025 to 2035, faster than the 3.5% projected across all occupations. That is about the same as the +4.3% summed from BLS's employment levels across the 50 transportation and material moving occupations with a projection. That change ranks 294th of 830 projected occupations.

MeasureFigure
Employment, 2025166,400
Employment, 2035173,300
Projected change+4.1%
Openings a year21,100

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035. A projection is a BLS estimate, not a count. The 166,400 jobs here differ from the 159,240 on the salary page because Employment Projections also counts the self-employed and a wider set of workers, while OEWS counts wage and salary jobs in May 2025. BLS published these projections on August 27, 2026; checked November 10, 2026. Confirm any figure in the BLS Employment Projections tables.

BLS's reasons for this projection are at the Occupational Outlook Handbook. State projections are at Projections Central; projections by industry are left to BLS. Education, licensing and work context at O*NET.

How many job openings are there each year?

About 21,100 openings a year, from job growth and from workers leaving the occupation, the 154th most of 830 occupations. About 97% of them replace workers who change occupations or leave the labor force; the rest come from the 690 jobs added in an average year.

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035.

How does pay for transit and intercity bus drivers rank?

The median of $59,050 a year ranks 441st of 825 occupations with a published median. It sits in the upper half of occupations on openings and the lower half on pay.

$40,03010th percentile$19.25 an hour
$47,53025th percentile$22.85 an hour
$59,050Median$28.39 an hour
$70,70075th percentile$33.99 an hour
$84,70090th percentile$40.72 an hour

Source: BLS OEWS national file, May 2025. Wage and salary jobs only; the self-employed are not counted. OEWS pay excludes overtime, shift differentials and non-production bonuses. Ranks count only the occupations with that published figure: 830 for projected change, 830 for openings, 825 for median pay, which is why the totals differ.

What does it take to start?

Source: BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035, education and training assignments.

How do related jobs compare on outlook?

OccupationChangeOpenings a yearMedian pay
Taxi Drivers+11.5%20,400$42,100
Shuttle Drivers and Chauffeurs+7.1%35,500$37,290
Subway and Streetcar Operators+3.7%900$86,380
Bus Drivers, School+0.7%56,500$47,920
Passenger Attendants+6.0%4,300$37,720
Railroad Conductors and Yardmasters+0.9%3,000$78,000
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers+3.8%214,500$58,640
Light Truck Drivers+6.3%107,200$44,860

Related occupations from O*NET; projections from BLS Employment Projections, 2025 to 2035; pay from BLS OEWS, May 2025.

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